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Entering an attractive accumulation range as downside priced in
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2025 Earnings Update In 2025, Khang Dien House (KDH) delivered solid business results, with revenue reaching VND 4,674 billion (+43% YoY) and net profit of VND 1,634 billion (doubling YoY), primarily driven by high-margin low-rise handovers at The Gladia project. However, the asset structure remains heavily skewed toward inventories (VND 23,264 billion, ~68.3% of total assets), while borrowings increased to VND 10,150 billion and operating cash flow has remained negative for multiple years. In the context of tighter credit conditions in the real estate sector, this remains a notable challenge. Nevertheless, we believe KDH maintains a relatively stable foundation, supported by gradual improvements in project legal progress, which lays the groundwork for upcoming development cycles and revenue recognition in the coming years. Investment Thesis (1) The Gladia underpins short-term growth (2) Pipeline projects support cash flow and reduce debt pressure The Solina (11A), currently 13/16ha cleared, is expected to launch from late 2026, together with Binh Trung Dong expansion, supporting medium-term revenue. (3) Long-term advantage from land bank and consistent development strategy |
RECOMMENDATION: KDH is trading at ~1.6x P/B, about 1 standard deviation below its 5-year average. We believe this level already reflects most macro risks and provides an attractive accumulation range for long-term investors. GTJAS VN recommends BUY, with a target price of VND 36,829/share, implying 44.31% upside from the closing price of VND 25,500/share on 20/03/2026
[ENG] GTJASVN_KDH EquityReport_Updates on 2025 Business Result and Recommendation_20Mar2026
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